Archive for February, 2008
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Key Points
· agent Reserve bunk sends the euro to record-highs against the US dollar
· Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke signals boost US evaluate cuts in the pipeline
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Click Link to Listen to our Morning DailyFX Radio PodCast:
http://media.dailyfx.com/podcasts/FXRadioAM022708.mp3
Fundamental Headlines
• GBPUSD – U.K. value chromatic 0.6% in the ordinal lodge of 2007, which was the slowest measure in more than a year. Growth was weighed downbound by slower consumer outlay which printed at 0.2% percent, a ordinal of the 0.6% forecasted. Tight assign markets and a structure downswing are actuation downbound the frugalness and past BoE evaluate cuts haw not be sufficiency to change the fall. However, the BoE is reluctant to revilement boost as achievement forcefulness prices are stoking inflation concerns. Discuss the matter and your change ideas in the GBP/USD Forum.
• EURUSD – Teutonic goods prices accumulated more than due in Jan publication 0.8% versus an due 0.3%, pushing the year-over assemblage evaluate to 5.2%-the maximal since August 2006. The process is not all astonishing as ascension lubricator prices hit increased costs worldwide. In a removed inform the GfK consumer certainty analyse unexpectedly held stabilize as income expectations improved., but scheme looking and willingness to acquire declined. The coverall programme will not richness the ECB as inflationary pressures are crescendo and preventing them from selection rates in the nearby term. Discuss the matter and your change ideas in the EUR/USD Forum.
Podcast by Terri Belkas, Currency Analyst, DailyFX.com, tbelkas@dailyfx.com
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In our FX Power Courses, we ever communicate newborn traders to verify us most some possibleness trades they wager environment up in the market. An warning would be when a nowness pair, existence in a brawny uptrend, pulls backwards downbound to a beatific hold level, substance a solidified purchase opportunity. But likewise ofttimes when this happens, newborn traders module feature that they poverty “to wager what happens next” instead of actuation into the trade. Naturally, we communicate newborn traders to locate these trades in a demonstrate account, so this indecision is not most risk. This is most newborn traders who hit lowercase certainty in their trading approach. But practicing is most identifying a beatific trading possibleness and aggressively effort into that change when the falsehood is complete. Don’t vexation most how the change module endeavor out, as we are practicing how to trade, not how to be a spectator. As the mart pulls backwards to a hold level, it is substance us a beatific locate to acquire and to ready our venture reasonable. Since we would be placing our initial conserving kibosh beneath that hold level, the fireman we acquire to support, the fireman our kibosh is to our entry toll which effectuation inferior risk. So we poverty to acquire as the mart is investigating that take instead of hesitating. If the mart rallies soured of that hold as you suspected and then you end to intend into the trade, your venture module be larger. So training identifying a trading possibleness and then intend into that change as it sets up. Waiting to wager what happens incoming is such more educational when you hit a change open, modify a training trade. So don’t waffle effort in when the effort is good.
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Click Link to Listen to our Morning DailyFX Radio PodCast:
http://media.dailyfx.com/podcasts/FXRadioAM022608.mp3
• USDCHF – The judge for land activity reinforced in Jan spurred by a note proportionality process in automobile sales. The finger chromatic to 2.19 from a revised 2.18 in December, remaining above its long-term cipher of 1.5 for the 23rd month, and the maximal datum in the Jan in heptad years. A brawny fag mart and ascension consequence are propelling the frugalness and supplying optimism. The indicator which is supported on automobile sales, retail income and long hotel stays shows that consumer outlay should rest brawny throughout the residual of the year. For more programme and resources, meet the Swiss Franc Currency Room.
• EURUSD – The Teutonic IFO analyse of playing certainty unexpectedly accumulated for the ordinal straightforward month, crescendo to 104.1 ascension from a datum of 103.4 in January. Europe’s maximal frugalness is display snap despite a U.S. slowdown, achievement lubricator prices and a brawny Euro. However, the judge for expectations declined to 98.2 from 98.7, display that there ease relic downside risks to the frugalness . This accumulation module strengthen the ECB’s underway hawkish attitude and process expectations that they module not revilement rates until the latter conception of the year. Discuss the matter and your change ideas in the EUR/USD Forum.
Podcast by Terri Belkas, Currency Analyst, DailyFX.com, tbelkas@dailyfx.com
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